Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 9

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Düren		Köln II

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.35	3.4	2.75
	2.31	3.65	2.77
	2.3	3.52	2.71	Watch
	2.26	3.52	2.69
	2.35	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.12)	3.48 ↓ (3.56)	2.7 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Düren
39.8%

Draw
26.3%

Köln II
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

25.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Düren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Düren than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Düren - Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Zeil ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Kujovic ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Lela ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Kujovic ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Düren is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Köln II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Düren won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Düren won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1.FC Düren
German Regionalliga West
21.09.24	Düren - Uerdingen	5:3 ✺
14.09.24	Bocholt - Düren	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Düren - Rödinghausen	0:4 ✺
24.08.24	Schalke 04 II - Düren	1:4 ✺
17.08.24	Düren - Wiedenbrück	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLWW
- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
21.09.24	Köln II - Bocholt	4:5 ✺
14.09.24	Rödinghausen - Köln II	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.24	Köln II - Porz	3:2 ✺
German Regionalliga West
01.09.24	Köln II - Schalke 04 II	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Wiedenbrück - Köln II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
11.02.24	Köln II - Düren	0:1
19.08.23	Düren - Köln II	1:1
11.02.23	Köln II - Düren	2:0
21.08.22	Düren - Köln II	3:2

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