Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN NORD - ROUND 20

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday


	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg		Würzburger FV

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.8
	2.08	3.55	2.7
	2.1	3.55	2.7
	2.07	3.87	2.97
	2.1	3.5	2.7
	2.07	4	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.92)	3.68 ↓ (4)	2.77 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
43.2%

Draw
24.4%

Würzburger FV
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

22.7%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

21.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DJK Don Bosco Bamberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in DJK Don Bosco Bamberg's performance.

Würzburger FV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Würzburger FV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DJK Don Bosco Bamberg than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with DJK Don Bosco Bamberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Würzburger FV than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Würzburger FV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Würzburger FV Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. DJK Bamberg will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Würzburger FV will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for DJK Bamberg: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Oberliga Bayern Nord and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches DJK Bamberg won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Würzburger FV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Würzburger FV will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches DJK Bamberg won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-26.

Including matches at home between the teams DJK Bamberg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
12.11.22	Neumarkt - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Jahn Regensburg II	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Geesdorf	5:0 ✺
21.10.22	Kornburg - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	2:1 ✺
14.10.22	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Eltersdorf	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLL
- Würzburger FV
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
12.11.22	Würzburger FV - ATSV Erlangen	0:3 ✺
29.10.22	Würzburger FV - Gebenbach	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Neumarkt - Würzburger FV	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Würzburger FV - Jahn Regensburg II	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Geesdorf - Würzburger FV	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
23.07.22	Würzburger FV - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	1:1
13.03.22	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Würzburger FV	1:1
18.08.21	Würzburger FV - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	1:4
10.11.19	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Würzburger FV	2:5
21.07.19	Würzburger FV - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	4:0
20.04.19	Würzburger FV - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	3:2
23.09.18	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Würzburger FV	0:2

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