Match Info

K3 League - Round 17

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Daejeon Korail		Gyeongju KH&NP

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.25
	2	3.1	3.45	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.65
	2.09	3.31	3.27
	2.12	3.05	3.5
	2.08	3.43	3.38	Watch
	2.03	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.38)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.43 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Korail
44.4%

Draw
28.8%

Gyeongju KH&NP
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.7%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Korail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daejeon Korail's performance.

Gyeongju KH&NP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gyeongju KH&NP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Korail than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daejeon Korail that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyeongju KH&NP than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gyeongju KH&NP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Daejeon Korail - Gyeongju KH&NP Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Daejeon Korail will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Korail won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Daejeon Korail has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Korail won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Daejeon Korail won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Daejeon Korail	23	12	5	6	33:18	15	41
5	Gyeongju KHNP	23	9	8	6	35:31	4	35

Last Results with these Odds

Daejeon Korail - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.77%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Korail
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Pocheon - Daejeon Korail	2:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
28.06.26	Busan Kyotong - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Daejeon Korail - Jeonbuk 2	4:0 ✺
06.06.26	Chuncheon - Daejeon Korail	3:3 ✺
31.05.26	Yeoju - Daejeon Korail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTL
- Gyeongju KH&NP
South Korean Cup
05.07.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Seosan Pioneer	3:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
28.06.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Pocheon	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Busan Kyotong - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Chuncheon - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
28.03.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Daejeon Korail	1:1
13.07.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Daejeon Korail	2:1
16.03.25	Daejeon Korail - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:0
02.11.24	Daejeon Korail - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1
22.06.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Daejeon Korail	1:0
18.08.23	Daejeon Korail - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0
22.04.23	Gyeongju KH&NP - Daejeon Korail	0:2

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