Match Info

K3 League - Round 11

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Mokpo City		Daejeon Korail

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.6	3	2.04	Watch
	4.04	3.2	2.12
	3.78	3.01	2.03	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.76	3	2	Watch
	3.6	3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↓ (5.49)	3.04 ↓ (4.2)	2.05 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mokpo City
25.4%

Draw
30.1%

Daejeon Korail
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

21.5%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

21.1%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mokpo City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mokpo City's performance.

Daejeon Korail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daejeon Korail might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mokpo City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daejeon Korail than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daejeon Korail could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Kim J. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Park Seung-Ryeol ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Choi Oh-Back ⚽,
38', 2 - 2, Seong Jeong-Yun ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 3 - 2, Min Sung-Yeon ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mokpo City won 2.

Recent form of Mokpo City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Daejeon Korail is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Mokpo City has had a series of away games.

Daejeon Korail might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mokpo City won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mokpo City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
23.05.25	Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Mokpo City - Jeonbuk 2	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Yangpyeong - Mokpo City	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Pocheon - Mokpo City	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Siheung - Mokpo City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLTL
- Daejeon Korail
South Korean K3 League
23.05.25	Daejeon Korail - Busan Kyotong	2:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
14.05.25	Daejeon Korail - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
South Korean K3 League
09.05.25	Yeoju - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
02.05.25	Daejeon Korail - Changwon City	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Chuncheon - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
20.09.24	Daejeon Korail - Mokpo City	0:1
26.05.24	Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail	1:1
03.11.23	Daejeon Korail - Mokpo City	3:1
10.06.23	Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail	2:1
28.08.22	Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail	0:1
01.05.22	Daejeon Korail - Mokpo City	0:1
14.08.21	Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail	1:0

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