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Current Win Probability
Dagenham & Redbridge 44.9%
Draw 27.1%
Ebbsfleet United 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
25.7%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
24.6%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dagenham & Redbridge's form might have worsened.
Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dagenham & Redbridge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.9%
7.1%
0%
Dagenham & Redbridge - Ebbsfleet United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Dagenham & Redbridge will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dagenham & Redbridge will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Appiah K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 2, Dallison T. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dagenham won 4.
Recent form of Dagenham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Ebbsfleet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ebbsfleet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Dagenham is the team to beat.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dagenham won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Dagenham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Ebbsfleet United - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.39%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.