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Current Win Probability
Truro City 37.8%
Draw 29.2%
Ebbsfleet United 33%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.5%
26.4%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
26.4%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Truro City - Ebbsfleet United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Semi - finals and 1st in the Promotion - National League).
Truro has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ebbsfleet is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Truro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ebbsfleet has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Truro has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Truro against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Ebbsfleet
12
8
4
0
29:7
22
28
2
Truro
13
8
3
2
24:12
12
27
Outrights of English National League South for now
Ebbsfleet: 21.26% Truro: 12.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Truro City - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.48%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.