Match Info
National League - Round 17Date: 9 February 2026, MondayLocation: Thuwunna Stadium (Yangon)
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Dagon |
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ISPE |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.6 |
3.95 |
4.25 |
Watch |
 |
1.59 |
4.01 |
4.34 |
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1.63 |
3.96 |
4.39 |
Watch |
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1.62 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
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1.57 |
4 |
4.67 |
Watch |
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1.58 |
4 |
4.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.9) |
3.92 ↑
(3.8) |
4.41 ↑
(3.16) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dagon
56.5% | Draw
23% | ISPE
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dagon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dagon's performance.ISPE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ISPE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagon than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dagon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ISPE than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ISPE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Dagon - ISPE Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Htwe Yan Kyaw ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 0, Swe Moe ⚽,
- 45+3', Lam Mang S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 70', 2 - 1, Maung Win Pyae ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Lam Mang S. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 6).Dagon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).ISPE has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Dagon might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dagon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Dagon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dagon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
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| 11 | Ispe FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Myanmar National League | | | 20.09.25 | ISPE - Dagon | 1:1 | | 04.11.24 | ISPE - Dagon | 2:1 | | 19.07.24 | Dagon - ISPE | 2:1 | | 04.11.23 | ISPE - Dagon | 0:1 | | 02.06.23 | Dagon - ISPE | 2:3 |
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