Match Info

I Lyga - Round 19

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Dainava Alytus		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.10	2.30
	3.20	3.05	2.10
	2.74	3.04	2.39
	2.79	3.15	2.4
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.94	3.06	2.30
	3.2	3.05	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.95)	3.06 ↓ (3.35)	2.28 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dainava Alytus
31%

Draw
29.4%

Babrungas Plungė
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23%

27.1%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

25.6%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dainava Alytus's performance.

Babrungas Plungė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Babrungas Plungė might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dainava Alytus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Babrungas Plungė could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dainava Alytus - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA).

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

Recently, Dainava has had a series of home games.

Babrungas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dainava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Babrungas	28	22	4	2	52:13	39	70
7	Dainava Alytus	28	12	8	8	40:29	11	44

Last Results with these Odds

Dainava Alytus - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 22.96%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Division 2
02.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	Dainava Alytus - Transinvest 2	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Dainava Alytus - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
24.06.26	Dainava Alytus - Transinvest	2:1 penalties ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
21.06.26	Dainava Alytus - FA Šiauliai B	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWWWW
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
03.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Babrungas Plungė - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	FA Šiauliai B - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
22.03.26	Babrungas Plungė - Dainava Alytus	3:1
17.09.22	Babrungas Plungė - Dainava Alytus	2:1
22.05.22	Dainava Alytus - Babrungas Plungė	3:2

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