Match Info

I Lyga - Round 16

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Kauno Žalgiris 2		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.75	4.50	1.30
	7.3	4.35	1.35
	7.63	4.57	1.35
	9.38	4.94	1.28	Watch
	7.55	4.5	1.3
	6.11	4.17	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.79 ↑ (6.79)	4.51 ↓ (4.55)	1.34 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris 2
11.7%

Draw
20.3%

Babrungas Plungė
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

19.9%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

19.2%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 0.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Babrungas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Babrungas is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43:11	32	61
12	Kauno Zalgiris 2	25	7	1	17	23:43	-20	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
28.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:0 ✺
18.06.26	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Transinvest 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTLLW
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
27.06.26	FA Šiauliai B - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:0 ✺
19.06.26	Babrungas Plungė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
12.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
29.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
24.06.26	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:0
18.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Babrungas Plungė	1:2
12.06.25	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1
09.08.24	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1
16.03.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Babrungas Plungė	1:2
31.08.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Babrungas Plungė	1:1
14.04.23	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:0

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