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Current Win Probability
Dalian Kewei 56.9%
Draw 27.9%
Changchun Xidu 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
26.6%
10.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.5%
25.3%
9.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dalian Kewei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalian Kewei's form might have worsened.
Changchun Xidu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Changchun Xidu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kewei than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalian Kewei, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Changchun Xidu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dalian Kewei - Changchun Xidu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zhang Chong (G) 8. Ablimit Dilshat 3. Yu Yanhao 35. Wang Peng 14. Li Zhen 11. Ge Yuxiang (C) 31. Peyzullah Bahtiyar 23. Liu Hongchen 29. Chen Yongze 20. Zhang Xianbing 39. Zhang Dachi
22. Yang Xinyang (G) 13. Wang Tianci 5. Yang Lei 21. Wang H. 7. Wang Xin (C) 8. Yu Z. 6. Liu Yang 2. Wang Song 18. Zhong Weihong 29. Memet Nuryasin 11. Sun Fei
Substitutes
25. Fang Peicheng 37. Huang Jianming 6. Liu Xiaolong 9. Liu Zhizhi 12. Li Wuze 27. Li Yang 7. Tang Junhao 13. Yan Xiaoyu (G) 30. Yu Zeyuan 32. Zhang Tianlong 2. Zhang Zhen 38. Zhang Zichao
9. Damlinjab 10. Huang Wenzhuo 37. Li Jiaqi 24. Liu Jiahao 36. Liu Jiahao 38. Rechemat Quwatbek (G) 3. Yangyang Ma 23. Ye-Yang Runyi 25. Zhong Junhong 59. Zhou Yan 20. Zhu X.
Coaches
Xu Hui
Jankovic Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Zhang Dachi ⚽, Ge Yuxiang (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Zhang Dachi (Penalty Awarded),
53', Wang H. 🟨,
54', Yang Lei 🟨,
59', Liu Hongchen ↓, Li Yang ↑,
59', Ge Yuxiang ↓, Huang Jianming ↑,
61', Ablimit Dilshat 🟨,
68', 3 - 0, Zhang Dachi ⚽,
70', Li Yang 🟨,
71', Sun Fei ↓, Damlinjab ↑,
71', Memet Nuryasin ↓, Zhou Yan ↑,
73', Chen Yongze ↓, Yu Zeyuan ↑,
73', Zhang Dachi ↓, Liu Zhizhi ↑,
75', Yu Z. ↓, Huang Wenzhuo ↑,
75', Liu Yang ↓, Li Jiaqi ↑,
79', Liu Zhizhi 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Recent performances by Dalian Kewei have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Changchun Xidu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Changchun Xidu has had a series of home games.
In this match, Dalian Kewei is the undisputed favorite.
The teams have not played against each other recently.
Watch
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Zhang Chong (G) 
Jankovic Z. 
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