Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 7

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Damac		Al Fateh

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.91
	3.4	3.6	1.95
	3.21	3.85	1.95	Watch
	3.44	3.58	1.96	Watch
	2.62	3.75	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.21)	3.68 ↓ (3.85)	2.03 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damac
28.5%

Draw
25.4%

Al Fateh
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

24%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

21.3%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Damac - Al Fateh Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Al Fateh (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Al Fateh (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al Fateh will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Fateh will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Fateh (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kewin (G) 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 5. Rabea H. 15. Harkass J. 20. Al Anazi D. (C) 2. Sylla M. 26. Sharahili R. 8. Vada V. 77. David Kaiki 80. Naji Y. 28. Medina J.	1. Pacheco F. (G) 6. Masoud N. 17. Saadane M. (C) 5. Darisi F. 15. Baattia S. 28. Bendebka S. 33. Youssouf Z. 94. Al Anazi A. 11. Batna M. 9. Toko Ekambi K. 10. Vargas M.
Substitutes
6. Abdullah T. 33. Al Baqaawi M. (G) 90. Al Ghamdi H. 30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 23. Al Hassan J. 12. Al Hawsawi S. 13. Al Obaid A. 88. Al Samiri K. 21. Omar A.	24. Al Aboud M. 97. Al Bukhari A. (G) 88. Al Othman O. 25. Al Sahihi M. 49. Al Sharfa S. 78. Al Swealem A. 27. Al Zubaidi F. 87. Bin Mahmoud 44. Fernandes J.
Coaches
Evangelista A.	Gomes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Vada V. 🟨,
19', Al Anazi D. 🟨,
45+1', Saadane M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Bendebka S. ⚽, Batna M. (A),
63', 1 - 1, Saadane M. (Own goal),
65', Naji Y. ↓, Al Ghamdi H. ↑,
71', Al Anazi A. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
73', Al Khaibre A. R. ↓, Al Hawsawi S. ↑,
81', David Kaiki ↓, Al Obaid A. ↑,
86', Bendebka S. ↓, Al Sharfa S. ↑,
90+2', Baattia S. ↓, Bin Mahmoud ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Damac won 0.

Damac has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al Fateh's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Damac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Damac has had a series of away games.

Al Fateh might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Damac won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Damac won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
25.10.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Damac	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Al-Taawoun - Damac	6:1 ✺
26.09.25	Damac - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:3 ✺
Saudi King Cup
23.09.25	Al-Najma - Damac	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
18.09.25	Al-Kholood - Damac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLL
- Al Fateh SC
Saudi King Cup
27.10.25	Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh	2:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
24.10.25	Al Fateh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	5:1 ✺
27.09.25	Al Fateh - Al-Qadisiya	0:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
24.09.25	Al-Jabalain - Al Fateh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
22.05.25	Damac - Al Fateh	0:1
22.01.25	Al Fateh - Damac	2:1
23.02.24	Al Fateh - Damac	1:1
29.08.23	Damac - Al Fateh	2:2
27.05.23	Al Fateh - Damac	1:1
20.01.23	Damac - Al Fateh	3:1
29.05.22	Damac - Al Fateh	0:3

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