Match Info

Liga BPI Women - Round 6

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Algarve (Faro/Loulé)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Damaiense		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.78
	3.86	3.53	1.79
	2.90	3.31	2.24	Watch
	4.06	3.54	1.75
	2.9	3.33	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.92)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	1.96 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damaiense
26.3%

Draw
26.8%

Rio Ave
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26.8%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damaiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damaiense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Damaiense - Rio Ave Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lockwood A. (G) 6. Beckert C. 14. Cartaxo S. 5. Guns C. 23. Harris T. (C) 10. Lidiane 12. Martinet L. 18. Moreira I. 19. Queiroga I. 22. Rafael L. 4. Wilson C.	1. Coster C. (G) 15. Assucena A. 70. Cristo C. 11. Curran C. 77. Fernandes M. 2. Fetty R. 32. Martins C. 42. Pereira R. (C) 55. Ribeiro A. 5. Shepherd S. 20. Wolfbauer M.
Substitutes
17. Cruz L. 77. Malta M. 27. Nande L. 3. Owusu F. 99. Pinto J. 71. Torres M. (G) 9. Wabeua Djiatio D. D. 13. Zayats V.	31. Fernandes Neves A. (G) 17. Ferreira A. 9. Gomes M. 18. Malva M. 3. Matos I. 8. Nunes M. 10. Rocha Conduto B. 30. Rodrigues Reis M. 4. Solis N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Lidiane ⚽,
17', Assucena A. 🟨,
19', Moreira I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Assucena A. ↓, Gomes M. ↑,
46', Cristo C. ↓, Ferreira A. ↑,
46', Pereira R. ↓, Nunes M. ↑,
53', Beckert C. 🟨,
63', Moreira I. ↓, Wabeua Djiatio D. D. ↑,
65', Lidiane 🟨,
72', Cartaxo S. ↓, Cruz L. ↑,
83', Martinet L. ↓, Nokuthula F. ↑,
90+12', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent form of Damaiense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Rio Ave has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Damaiense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rio Ave has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SF Damaiense Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
01.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Damaiense	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Damaiense - Racing Power	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Benfica - Damaiense	8:0 ✺
22.09.25	Damaiense - Sporting Lisbon	0:6 ✺
14.09.25	Braga - Damaiense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 LTLLW
- Rio Ave Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
03.11.25	Rio Ave - Braga	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Rio Ave - Marítimo	1:1 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
19.10.25	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
11.10.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Rio Ave - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 LTTTW

Damaiense - Rio Ave: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide