The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dangkor Senchey 69.8%
Draw 17.1%
National Defense 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
24.2%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
23.4%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dangkor Senchey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dangkor Senchey's performance.
National Defense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and National Defense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dangkor Senchey than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dangkor Senchey that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for National Defense than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that National Defense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dangkor Senchey - National Defense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
56. Soeun R. (G) 15. Phork S. 10. Onda Sonosuke 2. Sek C. 18. Sam Ol T. 8. Un S. 20. Rodrigues J. 13. Akiba S. 7. Hav S. 77. Diakite L. 9. Kang S. (C)
22. Um S. (G) 2. Vinun O. 15. Suk V. 6. Taniguchi T. 5. Soung S. 3. Vorn P. 8. Mizuno H. 14. Murata S. (C) 50. Kataoka S. 10. Kinoshita R. 24. Khorn N.
Substitutes
99. Bruno Ernandes 11. Long D. 25. Long M. 29. Morn B. 1. Neang P. (G) 5. Samura U. 12. Sonn T. 19. Soun M. 96. Voeurn S. 16. Ya M.
99. Buth R. 12. Chun S. 9. Ekejiuba V. 19. Leang P. 31. Maeda R. 1. Mat L. (G) 11. Nat S. 23. Sreng S. 20. Tep F. 17. Yim K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Rodrigues J. ⚽,
43', Soung S. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Hav S. ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, Un S. ⚽,
82', 4 - 0, Bruno Ernandes ⚽,
86', 5 - 0, Long D. ⚽,
90+5', 6 - 0, Hav S. ⚽, Bruno Ernandes (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dangkor Senchey won 2.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Dangkor Senchey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, National Defense has had a series of home games.
In this match, Dangkor Senchey is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dangkor Senchey won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Dangkor Senchey won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).