The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
De Treffers 42.8%
Draw 24.1%
Spakenburg 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
23.9%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
23.1%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Treffers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that De Treffers's form might have worsened.
Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spakenburg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Treffers than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for De Treffers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spakenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
De Treffers - Spakenburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stoskovic P. (G) 2. Zeller M. 4. van Ginkel J. 5. van Strien R. 7. Brussaard B. 10. den Dekker W. 8. van der Heijden S. (C) 12. van Hedel J. 17. van Bakel S. 18. Hekkert J. 9. Waterink T.
1. Damkalis S. (G) 18. Linthorst T. 5. Green D. 14. Hage S. 7. el Azzouti A. 15. van Lopik H. 8. van Huffel S. (C) 36. Lever S. 16. Kok O. 26. Veenhoven M. 9. van der Weijden M.
Substitutes
27. Coffie J. 6. Ippel R. 23. Kesting J. (G) 14. Kwantes S. 29. Surmeli K. 22. van der Logt J. 11. Vlijter G.
50. Afaker M. 44. Guiting J. 22. Hop J. 77. Houweling J. (G) 17. Kroeze R. 20. Quaedvlieg F. 2. Verhagen N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, van Bakel S. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Brussaard B. ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, van Bakel S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lever S. ↓, Guiting J. ↑,
46', van Lopik H. ↓, Kroeze R. ↑,
46', Kok O. ↓, Verhagen N. ↑,
57', Hage S. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
61', Verhagen N. 🟨,
69', 4 - 0, den Dekker W. ⚽,
73', 5 - 0, van Bakel S. ⚽, Waterink T. (A),
80', den Dekker W. ↓, Ippel R. ↑,
80', van Bakel S. ↓, Surmeli K. ↑,
85', Waterink T. ↓, Coffie J. ↑,
88', Brussaard B. 🟨,
88', Brussaard B. ↓, Kwantes S. ↑,
89', Hekkert J. ↓, van der Logt J. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Treffers won 2.
De Treffers has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Spakenburg has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Spakenburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
De Treffers is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, De Treffers has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:25 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for De Treffers against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:10 goals (averaging 1.1:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
De Treffers
8
4
3
1
20:9
11
15
7
Spakenburg
8
4
1
3
11:12
-1
13
Last Results with these Odds
De Treffers - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 50.89%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
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Stoskovic P. (G) 
Green D. 
Surmeli K. 
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