The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spakenburg 62%
Draw 18.2%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.1%
20.6%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
19.8%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Spakenburg - Jong Sparta Rotterdam Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Damkalis S. (G) 15. van Lopik H. 16. Kok O. 44. Guiting J. 5. Green D. 8. van Huffel S. (C) 26. Veenhoven M. 10. Kunst D. 34. Lever S. 9. van der Weijden M. 14. Hage S.
1. Suur R. (G) 2. Esser J. 3. Giersthove D. 4. Borrie T. (C) 5. Gompel M. 10. Oukhattou M. 6. Sandvliet N. 8. Guit V. 7. Inocencio J. 9. Hanzen D. 11. Sallent K.
Substitutes
7. el Azzouti A. 77. Houweling J. (G) 29. Koelewijn Y. 17. Kroeze R. 18. Linthorst T. 2. Verhagen N.
14. Bogerd J. 19. Ebite S. 20. Hitipeuw T. (G) 13. Leerdam B. 15. Oetoehganal L. 16. Silva Neves M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Sandvliet N. ⚽, Oetoehganal L. (A),
25', 1 - 1, van der Weijden M. ⚽,
31', Hage S. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
36', Guit V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Inocencio J. ↓, Silva Neves M. ↑,
53', Borrie T. 🟨,
62', van Huffel S. 🟨,
63', Afaker M. ↓, el Azzouti A. ↑,
70', Hanzen D. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
72', Veenhoven M. ↓, Verhagen N. ↑,
79', Sandvliet N. ↓, Oetoehganal L. ↑,
80', Verhagen N. 🟨,
85', van Lopik H. 🟨,
86', Giersthove D. ↓, Bogerd J. ↑,
90+4', Oukhattou M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spakenburg won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this matchup, Spakenburg is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Spakenburg has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:26 (averaging 2.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spakenburg against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:13 goals (averaging 1.6:1.4 per game).