Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 4

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Degerfors		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.2
	1.68	3.6	4.4
	1.72	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.88	4.8
	1.71	3.88	4.69
	1.65	3.7	4.4
	1.72	3.82	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.8)	3.77 ↑ (3.61)	4.52 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
54.8%

Draw
24.6%

Helsingborg
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

28.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Degerfors - Helsingborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Degerfors will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Helsingborg will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Degerfors: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jakobsson W. (G) 6. Wallin O. 15. Moro N. 2. Diaby M. 20. Bouzaiene E. (C) 7. Ohlsson S. 8. Holmen K. 16. Demirol A. 3. Mammar Chaouche A. 13. Abdulla P. 9. Lindgren G.	1. Joelsson K. (C) 19. Orn B. 2. Birkfeldt J. 3. Nilsson W. 23. Westerlund W. 13. Loeper W. 14. Kjellnas L. 8. Almadjed S. 11. Rasmussen M. 27. Acquah B. 9. Silverholt T.
Substitutes
19. Bichis J. 11. Fisic A. 25. Forsell R. (G) 18. Gronborg T. 17. Kassi L. 30. Morgado B. 10. Vukojevic D.	30. Arvidsson N. (G) 5. Bengtsson S. 24. Bergman D. 25. Hellborg A. 33. Muhsin A. 20. Olsson D. 21. Svanback A.
Coaches
Lundin W.	Saarenpaa K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Lindgren G. (Pen),
31', Westerlund W. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Moro N. (Own goal),
43', Almadjed S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, Lindgren G. ⚽, Mammar Chaouche A. (A),
64', Abdulla P. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
66', Orn B. 🟨,
75', Almadjed S. ↓, Hellborg A. ↑,
75', Westerlund W. ↓, Olsson D. ↑,
75', Silverholt T. ↓, Bergman D. ↑,
80', Lindgren G. 🟨,
81', Demirol A. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
83', Acquah B. ↓, Muhsin A. ↑,
87', Birkfeldt J. ↓, Svanback A. ↑,
87', Bergman D. 🟨,
90', Mammar Chaouche A. 🟨,
90+2', Lindgren G. ↓, Vukojevic D. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 2.

Recent matches Degerfors is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Helsingborg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Degerfors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Degerfors have a series of guest games.

Recently Helsingborg have a series of home games.

In this match Degerfors is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Degerfors won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
15.04.24	Gefle - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Degerfors - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Öster - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
10.03.24	Djurgården - Degerfors	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Elfsborg - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWTLT
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
14.04.24	Helsingborg - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
09.04.24	Helsingborg - Brage	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Gefle - Helsingborg	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Helsingborg - Örgryte	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Helsingborg - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
23.10.22	Helsingborg - Degerfors	1:2
15.05.22	Degerfors - Helsingborg	2:1
Swedish Superettan
01.09.18	Degerfors - Helsingborg	1:1
10.06.18	Helsingborg - Degerfors	4:1
21.10.17	Degerfors - Helsingborg	1:1
01.05.17	Helsingborg - Degerfors	3:0
Svenska Cupen
26.02.17	Helsingborg - Degerfors	2:3

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