Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 3

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Gefle		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.8
	4	3.5	1.78
	4	3.6	1.87	Watch
	4.32	3.69	1.87
	4.32	3.69	1.81
	4	3.5	1.73
	4.26	3.7	1.79	Watch
	4	3.55	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (4.6)	3.6 ↓ (3.7)	1.81 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
22.5%

Draw
25.9%

Degerfors
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

24.2%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.3%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Degerfors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gefle - Degerfors Predictions

Users Predictions: Degerfors will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jonsson O. (G) 7. Edqvist A. 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 16. Persson K. 14. Friman S. P. 44. Ranera I. 6. Browning L. 35. Adrian S. 9. Hjelte J. 11. Englund L.	1. Jakobsson W. (G) 30. Morgado B. 15. Moro N. 2. Diaby M. 6. Wallin O. 7. Ohlsson S. 8. Holmen K. 16. Bunjaku L. 3. Mammar Chaouche A. (C) 13. Abdulla P. 9. Lindgren G.
Substitutes
18. Capotondi C. 4. Ekman P. 20. Hjelm A. 27. Johansson T. (G) 23. Lattman A. 24. Rafael Y. 10. Yakoub A.	19. Bichis J. 11. Fisic A. 25. Forsell R. (G) 18. Gronborg T. 23. Heden Lindskog A. 17. Kassi L. 10. Vukojevic D.
Coaches
Bengtsson M.	Lundin W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Hjelte J. ⚽, Ranera I. (A),
11', Morgado B. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Abdulla P. ⚽, Mammar Chaouche A. (A),
39', 1 - 2, Abdulla P. ⚽, Holmen K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 2, Hjelte J. ⚽, Englund L. (A),
61', Holmen K. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
63', Adrian S. ↓, Capotondi C. ↑,
67', Diaby M. 🟨,
75', Friman S. P. ↓, Rafael Y. ↑,
75', Englund L. ↓, Yakoub A. ↑,
82', Abdulla P. ↓, Vukojevic D. ↑,

Preview

Gefle has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Degerfors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Degerfors is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gefle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
07.04.24	Utsikten - Gefle	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Gefle - Helsingborg	2:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
03.03.24	Gefle - Örebro	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	AIK - Gefle	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Kalmar - Gefle	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLL
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
06.04.24	Degerfors - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Öster - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
10.03.24	Djurgården - Degerfors	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Elfsborg - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Degerfors - GAIS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
03.11.18	Degerfors - Gefle	4:0
14.04.18	Gefle - Degerfors	0:1
29.10.17	Gefle - Degerfors	1:1
10.06.17	Degerfors - Gefle	2:0

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