Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 16

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Beigi R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, TV4 Play


	Degerfors		Skövde AIK

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.41	4.4	6.5
	1.44	4.5	7	Watch
	1.42	4.71	7.46
	1.4	4.5	6.54	Watch
	1.36	4.33	7
	1.42	4.6	6.97	Watch
	1.41	4.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)	4.46 ↓ (4.48)	6.82 ↑ (6.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
65.7%

Draw
20.8%

Skövde AIK
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21.1%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Skövde AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Degerfors - Skövde AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Degerfors will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Skövde will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Degerfors: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jakobsson W. (G) 6. Wallin O. 30. Morgado B. 7. Ohlsson S. 12. Lindell E. 4. Martensson J. (C) 8. Holmen K. 2. Diaby M. 21. Pihlstrom E. 9. Lindgren G. 10. Vukojevic D.	30. Zendejas A. (G) 19. Sorman S. 18. Tellgren E. 3. Schyberg F. (C) 21. Mikhail M. 10. Abraham S. 24. Hellichius F. 6. Abraham E. 13. Engstrom H. 7. Skillermo E. 11. Diagne M.
Substitutes
19. Bichis J. 11. Fisic A. 25. Forsell R. (G) . Gravius C. 18. Gronborg T. 23. Heden Lindskog A. 15. Moro N.	5. Bilalovic K. 4. Drinic F. 1. Frojd M. (G) 12. Hall A. 9. Ljubicic S. 20. Suljev A. 8. Zendelovski A.
Coaches
Lundin W.	Abraham C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ohlsson S. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
28', Diagne M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Diagne M. ↓, Ljubicic S. ↑,
60', Lindgren G. 🟨,
64', Holmen K. ↓, Gravius C. ↑,
70', Engstrom H. ↓, Hall A. ↑,
70', Skillermo E. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
78', Martensson J. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
78', Lindgren G. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
78', Lindell E. ↓, Bichis J. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Vukojevic D. ⚽, Gronborg T. (A),
85', 2 - 0, Bichis J. ⚽, Pihlstrom E. (A),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 10).

Degerfors is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Skövde is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Degerfors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Degerfors is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Degerfors won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
21.07.24	Östersund - Degerfors	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.24	Degerfors - Västerås SK	3:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
29.06.24	Degerfors - Sandviken	4:1 ✺
23.06.24	Oddevold - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Skövde AIK - Degerfors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTW
- Skövde AIK
Swedish Superettan
21.07.24	Skövde AIK - Brage	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Örgryte - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
23.06.24	Skövde AIK - Sandviken	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Skövde AIK - Degerfors	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Varbergs BoIS - Skövde AIK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
15.06.24	Skövde AIK - Degerfors	0:2
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Degerfors - Skövde AIK	0:0
Svenska Cupen
27.02.23	Degerfors - Skövde AIK	1:0
Club Friendly
29.01.23	Degerfors - Skövde AIK	1:1

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