Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 15

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Södermalms IP (Skövde)

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, TV4 Play


	Skövde AIK		Brage

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.8
	4.1	3.5	1.75
	4.33	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.95	1.77
	4.25	3.51	1.83	Watch
	4	3.6	1.73
	4.27	3.64	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (4.46)	3.61 ↓ (3.71)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skövde AIK
21.8%

Draw
25.8%

Brage
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

25.2%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

24.2%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skövde AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Skövde AIK - Brage Predictions

Users Predictions: Brage will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Zendejas A. (G) 19. Sorman S. 18. Tellgren E. 3. Schyberg F. (C) 21. Mikhail M. 7. Skillermo E. 6. Abraham E. 23. Ovsenek Z. 11. Diagne M. 13. Engstrom H. 10. Abraham S.	1. Frodig V. (G) 22. Weilid C. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 5. Agren O. 23. Redenstrand C. 11. Arvidsson J. 10. Berggren G. 21. Sletsjoe H. 14. Izountouemoi S. 12. Ieltsin Camoes 33. Muhsin A.
Substitutes
4. Drinic F. 1. Frojd M. (G) 12. Hall A. 24. Hellichius F. 22. Lindell E. 20. Suljev A. 8. Zendelovski A.	18. Abic F. 13. Bernardini A. (G) 3. Gayi E. 17. Jonsson P. 4. Persson M. 6. Titi A. 7. Tot Wikstrom E.
Coaches
Tufegdzic S.	Mian J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Engstrom H. ⚽, Sorman S. (A),
34', Ovsenek Z. ↓, Hellichius F. ↑,
44', Berggren G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Weilid C. 🟨,
67', Izountouemoi S. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
69', Diagne M. 🟨,
75', Berggren G. ↓, Titi A. ↑,
75', Weilid C. ↓, Tot Wikstrom E. ↑,
76', Skillermo E. ↓, Drinic F. ↑,
76', Engstrom H. ↓, Hall A. ↑,
87', Abraham S. ↓, Lindell E. ↑,
87', Diagne M. ↓, Zendelovski A. ↑,
87', Arvidsson J. ↓, Abic F. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 6).

Skövde has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brage is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Brage is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Skövde won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Skövde won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skövde AIK
Swedish Superettan
30.06.24	Örgryte - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
23.06.24	Skövde AIK - Sandviken	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Skövde AIK - Degerfors	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Varbergs BoIS - Skövde AIK	2:2 ✺
26.05.24	Skövde AIK - Öster	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTL
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
28.06.24	Brage - Gefle	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	Brage - Sundsvall	5:0 ✺
17.06.24	Trelleborg - Brage	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Brage - Öster	1:0 ✺
27.05.24	Utsikten - Brage	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
02.10.23	Brage - Skövde AIK	3:2
30.04.23	Skövde AIK - Brage	0:0
18.10.22	Brage - Skövde AIK	0:0
16.07.22	Skövde AIK - Brage	1:1

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