Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 20

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Deisenhofen		Pipinsried

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.3	2.25
	2.88	3.23	2.27
	2.94	3.3	2.24
	2.85	3.3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.34)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)	2.25 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deisenhofen
31.7%

Draw
27.8%

Pipinsried
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.5%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26.5%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deisenhofen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deisenhofen's form might have worsened.

Pipinsried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pipinsried's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deisenhofen than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deisenhofen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pipinsried than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pipinsried, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Benko F. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Yilmaz Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Jost B. ⚽,
52', 2 - 2, Karger N. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deisenhofen won 0.

Deisenhofen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pipinsried is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pipinsried could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Deisenhofen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:20 (average 0.8:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Deisenhofen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Deisenhofen
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
03.11.24	Türkspor Augsburg - Deisenhofen	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Grünwald - Deisenhofen	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Deisenhofen - Sonthofen	4:0 ✺
12.10.24	Schalding-Heining - Deisenhofen	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Deisenhofen - Nördlingen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTWLW
- FC Pipinsried
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
26.10.24	Memmingen - Pipinsried	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	TSV Kottern - Pipinsried	4:2 ✺
12.10.24	Pipinsried - Erlbach	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	1860 München II - Pipinsried	3:0 ✺
03.10.24	Pipinsried - Ismaning	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
31.07.24	Pipinsried - Deisenhofen	5:1
11.11.23	Deisenhofen - Pipinsried	1:1
29.07.23	Pipinsried - Deisenhofen	3:0
Club Friendly
29.06.22	Deisenhofen - Pipinsried	1:1
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
07.03.20	Deisenhofen - Pipinsried	2:7
09.08.19	Pipinsried - Deisenhofen	3:0

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