Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: La Blancherie (Delémont)


	Delémont		Breitenrain Bern

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.2	4.5
	1.46	4.5	5.2
	1.53	4.66	4.84
	1.52	4.69	5.2
	1.48	4.45	5.05
	1.46	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)	4.5 ↑ (4.33)	5 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delémont
61.3%

Draw
20.4%

Breitenrain Bern
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

21.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

20.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delémont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Breitenrain Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delémont than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breitenrain Bern than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Delémont - Breitenrain Bern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oberle S. (G) 22. Wyder D. 21. Sylvestre N. 15. Cesca M. (C) 4. Jubin F. 19. Achour S. 14. Hushi F. 11. Turkes S. 7. Shala A. 2. Baume R. 18. Toure D.	1. Kilchhofer R. (G) 16. Frey T. 4. Schneeberger L. 5. Wenger M. 19. Schneuwly C. 6. Fleury A. 13. Briner E. (C) 22. Golliard R. 10. Neto 7. Obama P. 9. Mast E.
Substitutes
26. Behrami V. 6. Boukaoui M. 8. Coulibaly M. 10. Francois M. 16. Gomis G. 9. Kury J. 24. Zaugg M. (G)	23. Campbell J. 20. Hurter M. 17. Luthi L. 21. Meister J. 3. Palma Villagra K. 14. Pavlov I. 27. Stampfli K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Turkes S. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Shala A. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Golliard R. ⚽,
45', Neto 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Toure D. ↓, Francois M. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Achour S. ⚽,
48', Schneeberger L. 🟨,
66', Neto ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
66', Schneeberger L. ↓, Palma Villagra K. ↑,
67', Turkes S. ↓, Boukaoui M. ↑,
67', Hushi F. ↓, Kury J. ↑,
75', Shala A. ↓, Behrami V. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Achour S. ⚽,
81', Mast E. ↓, Hurter M. ↑,
82', Obama P. ↓, Meister J. ↑,
84', Jubin F. ↓, Gomis G. ↑,
88', Briner E. ↓, Pavlov I. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Delémont has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Breitenrain's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Delémont is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Delémont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Delémont won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delémont
Swiss Promotion League
10.05.25	Baden - Delémont	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Delémont - Lugano II	1:5 ✺
26.04.25	Young Boys II - Delémont	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Delémont - Bulle	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Delémont - Kriens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTW
- FC Breitenrain Bern
Swiss Promotion League
10.05.25	Breitenrain Bern - Paradiso	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Basel II - Breitenrain Bern	5:1 ✺
26.04.25	Breitenrain Bern - Bavois	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Cham - Breitenrain Bern	2:3 ✺
09.04.25	Luzern II - Breitenrain Bern	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
09.11.24	Breitenrain Bern - Delémont	2:0
26.04.24	Delémont - Breitenrain Bern	2:1
21.10.23	Breitenrain Bern - Delémont	1:1
23.11.14	Delémont - Breitenrain Bern	0:2

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