Match Info

Serie D - Round 5

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas (Governador Valadares)


	Democrata GV		Vitória ES

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.75	2.92	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.75
	2.49	2.81	2.81
	2.6	2.87	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.36)	2.77 ↓ (3)	2.79 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata GV
35.2%

Draw
32.5%

Vitória ES
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Democrata GV - Vitória ES Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Democrata GV (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Democrata GV (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Thomasel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, Tonhao ⚽,
80', Luiz Henrique 🟥,

Preview

Vitória ES has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Democrata GV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Democrata GV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Democrata GV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Democrata GV - Tombense	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Porto SC - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Democrata GV - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.02.26	Democrata GV - Betim	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTWL
- Vitória ES
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Vitória ES - Porto SC	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
22.04.26	Porto Vitória - Vitória ES	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
18.04.26	Vitória ES - Rio Branco AC ES	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Noroeste - Vitória ES	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Vitória ES - Tombense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.07.23	Democrata GV - Vitória ES	4:2
27.05.23	Vitória ES - Democrata GV	3:1

Democrata GV - Vitória ES: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide