Match Info

Serie D - Round 4

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas (Governador Valadares)


	Democrata GV		Tombense

	1	X	2
	3.12	2.33	2.92
	3.08	2.41	2.88	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.88	2.59	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.71)	2.53 ↓ (2.66)	2.74 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata GV
30.9%

Draw
35.9%

Tombense
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

34.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Democrata GV - Tombense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, Chico Bala ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Democrata GV won 2.

Tombense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tombense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Democrata GV won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Democrata GV won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Serie D
18.04.26	Porto SC - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Democrata GV - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.02.26	Democrata GV - Betim	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Pouso Alegre - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLL
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie D
19.04.26	Noroeste - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Volta Redonda - Tombense	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Tombense - Porto SC	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Tombense - América Mineiro	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Vitória ES - Tombense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.01.26	Tombense - Democrata GV	2:0
26.01.25	Democrata GV - Tombense	0:1
07.02.24	Democrata GV - Tombense	2:2
03.04.22	Democrata GV - Tombense	1:0
16.02.22	Democrata GV - Tombense	1:0
17.02.18	Tombense - Democrata GV	3:1
04.03.17	Tombense - Democrata GV	2:0

Democrata GV - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide