Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 9

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday


	Democrata SL		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.87	2.05
	3.75	2.95	2.05
	3.82	2.86	2.02
	3.82	2.76	2.02
	3.75	2.9	1.91
	3.84	3	1.99
	3.75	2.95	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.31)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)	2.01 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata SL
24%

Draw
31.1%

Portuguesa RJ
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

31.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

30.5%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata SL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata SL than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Democrata SL - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Democrata SL is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portuguesa RJ is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa RJ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Portuguesa RJ will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Democrata SL won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Sete Lagoas
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
15.06.24	Tupi MG - Democrata SL	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
13.06.24	Itabuna - Democrata SL	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Democrata SL - Itabuna	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
09.06.24	Democrata SL - Nacional de Muriaé	0:0 ✺
06.06.24	Democrata SL - Aymorés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLTW
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
12.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Serra	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Serra - Portuguesa RJ	1:2 ✺
04.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Democrata SL	3:0 ✺
25.05.24	Audax Rio - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Portuguesa RJ - Itabuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Democrata SL	3:0

Democrata SL - Portuguesa RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide