Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 7

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa (Serra)


	Serra		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.3	1.63
	5	3.4	1.65
	5.19	3.29	1.64
	5.17	3.14	1.68
	5.5	3.3	1.57
	5.37	3.38	1.63
	5	3.4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↑ (3.68)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	1.64 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serra
17.5%

Draw
27.2%

Portuguesa RJ
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

28.3%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

27.5%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serra's form might have worsened.

Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa RJ's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.8%	88.2%

Serra - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: Portuguesa RJ will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Yuri ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Romarinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 2, Marcelo Toscano ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Serra is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa RJ is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa RJ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Portuguesa RJ is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra FC
Brazilian Serie D
02.06.24	Itabuna - Serra	3:1 ✺
24.05.24	Serra - Ipatinga	1:0 ✺
21.05.24	Serra - Democrata SL	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Noroeste - Serra	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Nova Iguaçu - Serra	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWTL
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
04.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Democrata SL	3:0 ✺
25.05.24	Audax Rio - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Portuguesa RJ - Itabuna	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Portuguesa RJ - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Noroeste - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTTWT

Serra - Portuguesa RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide