Match Info

Cymru North - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday


	Denbigh Town		Mold Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.95	3.7
	1.71	4.17	3.82
	2.80	4.06	2.12	Watch
	1.68	3.98	3.96
	1.95	3.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.95)	4.02 ↑ (3.95)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
48.2%

Draw
23.6%

Mold Alexandra
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

23.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Mold Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mold Alexandra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Denbigh Town - Mold Alexandra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Carey I. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Worrall M. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Worrall M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 3 - 1, Beaumont B. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Denbigh Town could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Denbigh Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Denbigh Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
15.08.25	Gresford Athletic - Denbigh Town	0:5 ✺
08.08.25	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Rhyl - Denbigh Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
25.07.25	Denbigh Town - Caersws	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Denbigh Town	9:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL
- Mold Alexandra
Welsh Cymru North
16.08.25	Mold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Caersws - Mold Alexandra	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Mold Alexandra - Penrhyncoch	2:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Bangor 1876 - Mold Alexandra	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
04.10.24	Denbigh Town - Mold Alexandra	1:1
10.08.24	Mold Alexandra - Denbigh Town	2:1
16.12.23	Mold Alexandra - Denbigh Town	2:0
03.11.23	Denbigh Town - Mold Alexandra	3:2

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