Match Info

Cymru North - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday


	Gresford Athletic		Denbigh Town

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.95	1.95
	3.06	4.09	1.95
	11.29	8.09	1.16	Watch
	2.98	4.1	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (2.67)	5.06 ↑ (4.33)	1.75 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gresford Athletic
20.4%

Draw
20.4%

Denbigh Town
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

21%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gresford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gresford Athletic's form might have worsened.

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denbigh Town's recent form is better than expected.

Gresford Athletic - Denbigh Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Brown N. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Brown N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 3, Higgins A. (Pen),
57', 0 - 4, Higgins A. ⚽,
90', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gresford won 3.

Denbigh Town has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Denbigh Town could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gresford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gresford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
08.08.25	Gresford Athletic - Ruthin Town	2:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Llandudno - Gresford Athletic	7:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
26.07.25	Gresford Athletic - Guilsfield	1:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.07.25	Gresford Athletic - Brickfield Rangers	3:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
12.04.25	Gresford Athletic - Denbigh Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWT
- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
08.08.25	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Rhyl - Denbigh Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
25.07.25	Denbigh Town - Caersws	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Denbigh Town	9:2 ✺
01.07.25	Llay Welfare - Denbigh Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
12.04.25	Gresford Athletic - Denbigh Town	3:3
23.08.24	Denbigh Town - Gresford Athletic	5:1
19.03.24	Denbigh Town - Gresford Athletic	2:5
Welsh League Cup
22.07.22	Denbigh Town - Gresford Athletic	0:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
05.01.19	Gresford Athletic - Denbigh Town	2:0
25.04.18	Denbigh Town - Gresford Athletic	3:0

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