Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 17

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Denizli İY Güreller		Nazillispor

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.99	7.03	Watch
	1.4	3.8	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	3.9 ↓ (3.99)	7.27 ↑ (6.16)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denizli İY Güreller
64.1%

Draw
23.4%

Nazillispor
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

22.2%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denizli İY Güreller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nazillispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizli İY Güreller than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nazillispor than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Torun M. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Torun M. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
80', 3 - 0, Torun M. ⚽, Cagliyan C. (A),
89', 4 - 0, Tastan M. ⚽,
90+2', 5 - 0, Vardar E. ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 0, Vardar E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Denizli İY has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nazillispor has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Denizli İY is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Denizli IY Gureller	29	14	4	11	34:30	4	46
16	Nazillispor ✔	28	0	4	24	7:112	-105	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denizli İY Güreller
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
10.01.26	Izmir Çoruhlu - Denizli İY Güreller	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Eskişehir Anadolu - Denizli İY Güreller	1:3 ✺
17.12.25	Denizli İY Güreller - Alanya 1221	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Balikesirspor - Denizli İY Güreller	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Denizli İY Güreller - Kutahyaspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLL
- Nazillispor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
10.01.26	Nazillispor - Ayvalıkgücü	1:8 ✺
20.12.25	Nazillispor - Uşak Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
16.12.25	Altay - Nazillispor	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Nazillispor - Afjet Afyonspor	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Eskişehir Anadolu - Nazillispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL

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