Match Info
3. Lig Group 4 - Round 14Date: 16 December 2025, TuesdayLocation: Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium (Izmir)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Altay |
|
Nazillispor |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.32 |
4.45 |
6.9 |
|
 |
1.34 |
4.59 |
7.03 |
|
 |
1.16 |
8.00 |
10.89 |
 Watch |
 |
1.33 |
4.5 |
7 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.48 |
5.79 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.5 |
5.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(2.03) |
4.75 ↑
(3.05) |
7.19 ↑
(3.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Altay
67.5% | Draw
19.6% | Nazillispor
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altay's performance.Nazillispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nazillispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-21.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altay that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nazillispor than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nazillispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Altay - Nazillispor Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -2 - Altay (6.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Altay (1.85) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Altay will win
(20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Altay will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Altay (votes: 17 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Kavlak U. ⚽, Ozkaya O. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Yildiz M. ⚽, Tangeldi E. (A),
- 45+3', 3 - 0, Tangeldi E. ⚽, Sarikaya Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).Altay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Nazillispor is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Altay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Altay is the team to beat.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Altay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).Including home matches between the teams, Altay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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