Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 30

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu (Denizli)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Denizlispor		Göztepe

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	3.75	3.51	2.03
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.58	3.44	1.98
	3.2	3.3	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.14)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	2.03 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denizlispor
26.9%

Draw
27.6%

Göztepe
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

29.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

28.7%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Denizlispor - Göztepe Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Denizlispor will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Göztepe will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Denizlispor won 1.

Denizlispor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Göztepe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Denizlispor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Göztepe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Denizlispor won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Denizlispor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denizlispor
Turkish First League
28.03.23	Altınordu - Denizlispor	5:2 ✺
24.03.23	Denizlispor - Boluspor	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Pendikspor - Denizlispor	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Denizlispor - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
08.03.23	Gençlerbirliği - Denizlispor	0:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Göztepe
Turkish First League
25.03.23	Tuzlaspor - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Göztepe - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
07.03.23	Altınordu - Göztepe	0:1
03.03.23	Göztepe - Boluspor	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Gençlerbirliği - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
29.10.22	Göztepe - Denizlispor	5:0
Turkish Super League
31.01.21	Denizlispor - Göztepe	2:1
12.09.20	Göztepe - Denizlispor	5:1
03.02.20	Denizlispor - Göztepe	1:1
31.08.19	Göztepe - Denizlispor	0:0
Club Friendly
01.08.19	Göztepe - Denizlispor	0:0
27.03.19	Denizlispor - Göztepe	1:0

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