Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 26

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu (Denizli)

Referee: Erdogan M. (Tur)


	Denizlispor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.25
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	2.85	3.2	2.23
	3.14	3.29	2.38
	3	3	2.25
	3.04	3.28	2.27
	2.9	3.25	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.15)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)	2.25 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denizlispor
30.8%

Draw
28.6%

Erzurumspor
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denizlispor's form might have worsened.

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erzurumspor's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Denizlispor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Denizlispor will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Denizlispor won 2.

Recent matches Denizlispor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Erzurumspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erzurumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Denizlispor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Denizlispor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Denizlispor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denizlispor
Turkish First League
08.03.23	Gençlerbirliği - Denizlispor	0:0
05.03.23	Denizlispor - Sakaryaspor	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Bandırmaspor - Denizlispor	1:4 ✺
29.01.23	Denizlispor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
23.01.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Denizlispor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLWTL
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
08.03.23	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1
04.02.23	Erzurumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:2 ✺
30.01.23	Samsunspor - Erzurumspor	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Erzurumspor - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
16.01.23	Pendikspor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
03.10.22	Erzurumspor - Denizlispor	1:0
20.05.22	Denizlispor - Erzurumspor	4:0
25.12.21	Erzurumspor - Denizlispor	3:1
Turkish Super League
17.04.21	Denizlispor - Erzurumspor	2:3
23.12.20	Erzurumspor - Denizlispor	1:2
Turkish First League
11.03.18	Denizlispor - Erzurumspor	2:1
29.10.17	Erzurumspor - Denizlispor	4:1

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