Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, CO)

Referee: Campo C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Usa	ion TV, MLS Season Pass, NWSL+, Tubi TV


	Denver Summit		Orlando Pride

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.3
	2.52	3.45	2.32	Watch
	2.6	3.83	2.39
	2.57	4.12	2.28	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.25
	2.58	3.4	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.45)	3.6 ↑ (3.36)	2.31 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denver Summit
35.6%

Draw
25.2%

Orlando Pride
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.8%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denver Summit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Orlando Pride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denver Summit than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Denver Summit - Orlando Pride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith A. (G) 7. Oke A. 23. Gaetino E. 3. Kurtz K. 6. Sonis J. (C) 5. Lynch D. 24. Sheehan D. 9. Ryan Y. 26. Flint N. 4. Means N. 25. Kossler M.	1. Moorhouse A. (G) 21. Hernandez O. 12. Dyke C. 41. Anderson H. 5. Mace H. 2. McCutcheon H. (C) 6. Lemos A. 30. Castain S. 28. Yates S. 20. Doyle J. 11. Banda B.
Substitutes
30. Biegalski C. 11. Brazier A. 79. Garcia N. 14. McCormack Y. 21. Peyraud-Magnin P. (G) 16. Pickett C. 8. Regan E. 2. Reid M. 18. Yamamoto Y.	25. Abello K. 7. Angelina 40. Crone M. (G) 80. Jackson S. 8. Luana Bertolucci 10. Marta 23. Payne N. 38. Raabe R. 29. Washington S.
Coaches
Cushing N.	Hines S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Gaetino E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yates S. ↓, Angelina ↑,
46', Mace H. ↓, Payne N. ↑,
46', Doyle J. ↓, Marta ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Sonis J. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Angelina 🟥,
64', Castain S. ↓, Jackson S. ↑,
65', Banda B. 🟨,
75', Lynch D. ↓, Regan E. ↑,
75', Means N. ↓, Brazier A. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Banda B. ⚽, McCutcheon H. (A),
77', 3 - 1, Sonis J. ⚽,
78', Banda B. ↓, Abello K. ↑,
90+5', Kossler M. ↓, McCormack Y. ↑,
90+6', Oke A. ↓, Pickett C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Denver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Denver won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Denver Summit W	27	10	8	9	45:37	8	38
11	Orlando Pride W	27	10	3	14	36:43	-7	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denver Summit
NWSL
09.05.26	Houston Dash - Denver Summit	1:4 ✺
03.05.26	Boston Legacy - Denver Summit	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Denver Summit - San Diego Wave	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Seattle Reign - Denver Summit	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Denver Summit - Washington Spirit	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLTT
- Orlando Pride
NWSL
12.05.26	Boston Legacy - Orlando Pride	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Orlando Pride - North Carolina Courage	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Orlando Pride - Washington Spirit	2:4 ✺
24.04.26	Racing Louisville - Orlando Pride	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Orlando Pride - Angel City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
20.03.26	Orlando Pride - Denver Summit	1:1

Denver Summit - Orlando Pride: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide