Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Baden-Württemberg - Round 29

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Denzlingen		Sonnenhof Großaspach

	1	X	2
	10.17	6.81	1.19
	10.17	6.81	1.2
	11.1	6.37	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.48 ↑ (7.27)	6.66 ↑ (5)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denzlingen
8.8%

Draw
13.8%

Sonnenhof Großaspach
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.2%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.5%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denzlingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sonnenhof Großaspach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sonnenhof Großaspach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denzlingen than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sonnenhof Großaspach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Nyamsi A. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Salz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 3, Nyamsi A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Oberliga Play Offs).

Denzlingen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Großaspach is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Großaspach could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Großaspach is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Denzlingen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Denzlingen
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
20.04.24	Bietigheim-Bissingen - Denzlingen	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Reutlingen - Denzlingen	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Denzlingen - VfR Mannheim	4:2 ✺
30.03.24	Pforzheim - Denzlingen	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Denzlingen - Oberachern	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL
- Sonnenhof Großaspach
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
21.04.24	Sonnenhof Großaspach - VfR Mannheim	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Villingen - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Pforzheim - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:3 ✺
07.04.24	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Oberachern	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Hollenbach - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
08.10.23	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Denzlingen	3:0

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