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Current Win Probability
Deportes Puerto Montt 53.1%
Draw 26.7%
Deportes Santa Cruz 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
26.3%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
25.5%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ureta L. (C) 4. Riveros M. 2. Morales A. 17. Nieto B. 15. Egana K. 23. Castillo G. 16. Flores J. 18. Sabella A. 28. Perez S. 31. Nanning C. 8. Paredes R.
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 3. Guerrero N. 5. Camisassa B. 12. Alvarado F. 22. Tati D. 4. Alucema G. 6. Orellana F. 14. Plaza D. 16. Gonzalez J. 23. Barrios N. 30. Arias D.
Substitutes
5. Calisto F. 14. Cardenas J. 7. Clerveaux M. 1. Escobar M. (G) 34. Gonzalez K. 3. Pino Villalon J. 10. Vargas C.
8. Acevedo D. 20. Cavero H. 1. Henriquez M. (G) 10. Mederos S. 7. Pardo C. 2. Quiroz I. 9. Zeineddin N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Tati D. 🟨,
23', Orellana F. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Paredes R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nanning C. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
61', Flores J. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
68', Paredes R. ↓, Clerveaux M. ↑,
68', Sabella A. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
72', Perez S. ↓, Calisto F. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Clerveaux M. (Penalty Awarded),
83', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 2.
Puerto Montt is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Puerto Montt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Deportes Santa Cruz has had a series of away games.
In this match, Puerto Montt is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Montt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
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Ureta L. (C) 
Morales A. 
Clerveaux M. 
Mederos S. 
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