The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 49.9%
Draw 25.9%
Deportes Santa Cruz 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
25.7%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
25.1%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Zozaya J. P. (G) 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. 6. James J. 16. Osorio M. 24. Yanez F. 30. Salinas Flores H. 7. Toledo A. 10. Jorquera C. (C) 29. Sepulveda M. 9. Peraza F.
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 19. Flores E. 20. Cavero H. 22. Tati D. 31. Romero N. 4. Alucema G. 6. Orellana F. 14. Plaza D. 16. Gonzalez J. 23. Barrios N. 30. Arias D.
Substitutes
23. Alegre M. 32. Coronel S. 11. Fredes M. 5. Liuzzi B. 1. Munoz J. (G) 20. Neira E. 40. Serpa I.
8. Acevedo D. 35. Brito P. 27. Castillo C. 3. Guerrero N. 28. Quezada M. 2. Quiroz I. 9. Zeineddin N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Jorquera C. ↓, Neira E. ↑,
28', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gonzalez J. ↓, Brito P. ↑,
64', Yanez F. ↓, Fredes M. ↑,
64', Walters A. ↓, Liuzzi B. ↑,
68', Arias D. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
68', Orellana F. ↓, Acevedo D. ↑,
72', Peraza F. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
72', Neira E. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
72', Tati D. ↓, Guerrero N. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Fredes M. ⚽,
89', Alucema G. ↓, Quiroz I. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 2.
Magallanes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Magallanes is a strong favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
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Zozaya J. P. (G) 
Walters A. 
Peraza F. 
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