The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Quindío 60.4%
Draw 24%
Real Santander 15.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
26.7%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
27.1%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Quindío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Quindío's performance.
Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Deportes Quindío - Real Santander Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Silva J. (G) 25. Carabali R. A. F. 3. Castano M. 18. Cordoba J. 7. Lloreda J. 22. Payares M. 14. Rodrigo Moran L. 19. Sandoval J. 23. Tello A. 8. Valencia F. 17. Viveros J.
1. Lazaro J. (G) 29. Carrasco J. 37. Delgado J. 11. Diaz M. 3. Duran C. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 5. Holguin J. 23. Moreno B. 26. Roman B. 25. Segura A. 31. Tapia D. (C)
Substitutes
21. Alvarez A. 24. Ibarguen J. 10. Javier Reina 15. Mosquera F. 20. Ocampo J. 6. Orozco S. 12. Pabon S. (G) 5. Roa S. 16. Torres Y.
6. Ariza A. 36. Ayala J. 8. Garcia J. 42. Misatt D. 30. Perez J. 22. Ramos Y. (G) 7. Rueda Juan
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 5.
Recent performances by Deportes Quindío have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real Santander is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Santander may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Real Santander has had a series of home games.
In this match, Deportes Quindío is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:14. (average 1.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Quindío won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2:0.6).