Match Info

Date: 27 November 2020, Friday


	Deportes Valdivia		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.35	2.9	2.04
	3.3	3.15	2.05
	3.6	3.16	2.14
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.3	3.34	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.34)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Valdivia
27.3%

Draw
29.3%

Ñublense
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

21.2%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Valdivia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Valdivia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ñublense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Valdivia - Ñublense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division).

Deportes Valdivia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ñublense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ñublense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ñublense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Deportes Valdivia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Valdivia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Valdivia
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.11.20	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Melipilla	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.11.20	Deportes Valdivia - Plasencia	1:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.11.20	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Valdivia	1:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.11.20	Coria - Deportes Valdivia	5:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.10.20	Deportes Valdivia - Glasgow Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLL
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.11.20	Ñublense - Glasgow Rangers	4:2 ✺
20.11.20	Deportes Puerto Montt - Ñublense	3:2 ✺
16.11.20	Ñublense - San Luis	2:1 ✺
04.11.20	Ñublense - Deportes Melipilla	4:0 ✺
28.10.20	Deportes Magallanes - Ñublense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.03.20	Ñublense - Deportes Valdivia	2:1
13.10.19	Deportes Valdivia - Ñublense	2:3
10.03.19	Ñublense - Deportes Valdivia	3:3
19.08.18	Deportes Valdivia - Ñublense	3:0
04.02.18	Ñublense - Deportes Valdivia	1:0
24.09.17	Deportes Valdivia - Ñublense	0:1
21.01.17	Ñublense - Deportes Valdivia	4:1

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