The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 33.4%
Draw 28.2%
Ñublense 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.3%
29.3%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
28.7%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
The chances for Ñublense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Deportes Magallanes - Ñublense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bernatene M. (G) 4. Vasquez M. 14. Valdez B. 17. Ortega F. 23. Mancilla N. 11. Valenzuela C. 21. Quiroz J. 22. Morales Olivares M. G. 7. Lezcano G. 8. Vicuna M. (C) 26. Munoz C.
1. Perez N. (G) 2. Labrin C. 6. Calderon P. 14. Campusano G. (C) 27. Gonzalez R. 5. Valencia E. 13. Saavedra D. 22. Plaza M. 11. Sanchez P. 23. Rodriguez M. 28. Molina L.
Substitutes
30. Abarca Antil F. A. 10. Aranguiz T. 28. Barria A. 24. Berrios E. 9. Cezar F. 2. Figueroa D. 1. Martinic A. (G) 16. Osorio M. 3. Walters A.
4. Bosso Torres O. 18. Cerezo B. 33. Cuevas N. 8. Graciani G. 20. Mateos F. 12. Rubio P. 16. Sanhueza D. 9. Sosa G. 30. Tapia D. (G)
Coaches
Leal B.
Fuentes R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Mancilla N. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Plaza M. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
30', Mancilla N. 🟨,
38', Calderon P. 🟨,
39', Munoz C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Valenzuela C. ↓, Figueroa D. ↑,
46', Munoz C. ↓, Cezar F. ↑,
46', Rodriguez M. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
46', Vasquez M. ↓, Walters A. ↑,
47', Rubio P. 🟨,
49', Rubio P. 🟨,
49', Lezcano G. (Pen),
61', Plaza M. ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
61', Saavedra D. ↓, Mateos F. ↑,
62', Quiroz J. ↓, Aranguiz T. ↑,
66', Morales Olivares M. G. 🟨,
74', Sanchez P. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
79', Lezcano G. ↓, Abarca Antil F. A. ↑,
84', Molina L. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
90+1', Abarca Antil F. A. 🟨,
90+5', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Aranguiz T. (Pen),
Preview
1st leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).
Watch
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Bernatene M. (G) 
Vasquez M. 
Valdez B. 
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