Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 7
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Deportivo A Coruña		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.7
	2.08	3.2	3.45	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.89
	2.12	3.30	3.46	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.13	3.26	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.88)	3.2 ↓ (3.5)	3.63 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
44.8%

Draw
29.3%

Sporting de Gijón
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.6%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.8%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportivo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parreno G. (G) 19. Cruz Luismi 23. Navarro X. 15. Loureiro M. 5. Barcia D. 18. Escudero S. 8. Villares D. (C) 6. Patino C. 21. Soriano M. 10. Hernandez Y. 7. Mulattieri S.	1. Yanez R. (G) 20. Vazquez K. (C) 15. Vazquez P. 4. Perrin L. 3. Garcia P. 14. Corredera A. 6. Martin N. 2. Rosas G. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 17. Dubasin J. 19. Otero J.
Substitutes
25. Bachmann D. (G) 3. Comas A. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 27. Fernandez S. 17. Herrera C. 35. Lopez R. 28. Mane A. 4. Noubi L. 13. Puerto E. (G) 12. Quagliata G. 22. Stoichkov 30. Teijo E.	9. Caicedo J. 7. Campos G. 18. Coundoul A. 23. Curbelo E. 13. Joel C. (G) 22. Kembo Y. 28. Mbemba P. 32. Prendes E. O. 11. Queipo D. 5. Sanchez D. 24. Smith J. 30. Venteo I. (G)
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Garitano A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Otero J. 🟨,
39', Villares D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rosas G. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
53', Garcia P. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
54', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
56', Martin N. ↓, Mbemba P. ↑,
60', Mulattieri S. ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
66', Eddahchouri Z. 🟨,
67', Patino C. ↓, Quagliata G. ↑,
67', Escudero S. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
76', Navarro X. ↓, Comas A. ↑,
77', Cruz Luismi ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
85', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
85', Otero J. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Barcia D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 1.

Deportivo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sporting de Gijón is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sporting de Gijón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sporting de Gijón has had a series of home games.

Deportivo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Deportivo: Jurado J. (Groin Injury) Mella D. (International duty) Noubi L. (International duty)

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
01.09.25	Leganés - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Burgos	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Granada - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Middlesbrough - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTWWT
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
29.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
18.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
10.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Arenteiro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.25	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1
24.11.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
14.06.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón	0:0
15.09.19	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1
27.01.19	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2
09.09.18	Deportivo A Coruña - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
05.03.17	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1

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