Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA FEDERACION WOMEN - ROUND 15

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)


	Deportivo Alavés		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.33	5.5
	1.45	4.33	5.5
	1.46	4.22	6.15
	1.42	4.2	6.46
	1.45	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)	4.28 ↓ (4.4)	5.82 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
63.1%

Draw
21.3%

Athletic Bilbao B
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

15.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Alavés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alavés is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic B has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés Women
Spanish Copa De La Reina
13.01.24	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
07.01.24	Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Deportivo Alavés - Cacereño	2:3 ✺
10.12.23	SE AEM - Deportivo Alavés	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	CE Europa - Deportivo Alavés	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTLTW
- Athletic Bilbao B Women
Spanish Primera Federacion Women
13.01.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Espanyol	0:3 ✺
07.01.24	Barcelona B - Athletic Bilbao B	4:0 ✺
17.12.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Athletic Bilbao B	4:2 ✺
26.11.23	Athletic Bilbao B - SE AEM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide