The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Armenio 41.1%
Draw 32.8%
Excursionistas 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
32.3%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
33.1%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Deportivo Armenio - Excursionistas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dominguez J. (G) 2. Cardozo I. 9. Herrera Jonathan N. 6. Marchesini F. 3. Mosca N. 11. Palma L. 10. Ramos L. 5. Tello F. 4. Troxler N. 8. Vega F. 7. Villalva L.
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 3. Arango M. 11. Arbello I. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Paulides A. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.
Substitutes
16. Barrionuevo D. 15. Chocobar V. 20. Davila M. 19. Figueroa G. 14. Lagomarsino S. 17. Luna T. 18. Nakache D. 13. Ortiz B.
16. Alaniz M. 12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 15. Damiolini N. 13. Maizarez I. 17. Pereyra J. 18. Pereyra O. 14. Rodriguez J. 20. Tellas G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Troxler N. ↓, Lagomarsino S. ↑,
39', Palma L. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Blanco M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Polvera M. 🟨,
57', Tello F. ↓, Nakache D. ↑,
57', Herrera Jonathan N. ↓, Davila M. ↑,
70', 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 2, Tellas G. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 3.
Recent form of Deportivo Armenio has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Excursionistas is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Deportivo Armenio has had a series of away games.
Deportivo Armenio might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Excursionistas
38
22
8
8
59:30
29
74
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Armenio - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.58%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.