Match Info

Primera B - Round 1

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Deportivo Merlo		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.31	2.8	3.52
	2.33	2.65	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.3
	2.34	2.9	3.37	Watch
	2.25	2.71	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)	2.75 ↓ (2.91)	3.42 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Merlo
39.9%

Draw
33.3%

Excursionistas
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

31.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tursi F. (G) 7. Aguerre F. 6. Barrientos L. . Benitez F. 20. Cuenca C. 11. Maguicha D. 5. Minnicelli A. . Rios N. . Sandoval I. 17. Vallejo L. 3. Velasco A.	27. Rodriguez N. (G) 3. Arango M. 16. Avalos A. . Damiolini N. 26. Fernandez M. 17. Haberkorn F. 6. Igarzabal H. 2. Pedrosa G. . Pereyra J. 9. Polvera M. 8. Zoratti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Blanco M. ⚽,
11', Vallejo L. 🟨,
29', Da Rosa J. E. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Da Rosa J. E. ⚽,
44', Arango M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barrientos L. ↓, Figueredo L. ↑,
46', Rios N. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
46', 1 - 2, Polvera M. ⚽,
57', Damiolini N. ↓, Haberkorn F. ↑,
61', Vallejo L. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
61', Maguicha D. ↓, Quinteros E. ↑,
66', Polvera M. ↓, Arbello I. ↑,
66', Espeche A. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
70', 🟨,
76', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Paez A. M. ↑,
78', Blanco M. ↓, Maizarez I. ↑,
79', Avalos A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
87', 🟨,
88', Paez A. M. 🟨,
90', Arbello I. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 3.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
16.11.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Deportivo Merlo - Sacachispas	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Real Pilar - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTTT
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
28.11.25	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	4:0 ✺
21.11.25	Excursionistas - Argentino de Merlo	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Excursionistas - Deportivo Flandria	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Fénix - Excursionistas	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
06.09.25	Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo	3:1
20.04.25	Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas	3:2
14.09.24	Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas	2:1
26.04.24	Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo	3:1
Argentinian Primera C
23.11.19	Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas	3:0
02.04.19	Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas	3:2
24.10.18	Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo	3:0

Upcoming Matches