The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Capiatá 40.7%
Draw 29.1%
Encarnación 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
26.6%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
26.4%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Capiatá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Capiatá's form might have worsened.
Encarnación has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Encarnación's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Capiatá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Encarnación, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Capiatá - Encarnación Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Benitez J. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13).
Deportivo Capiatá has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Encarnación has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Deportivo Capiatá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Capiatá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Capiatá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.