Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 8

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Jardines del Kelito (Asunción) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Paraguay	09:00	Tigo Sports+


	Tacuary		Encarnación

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.98	2.78
	2.69	2.93	2.78
	2.3	3.01	3.31	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.88
	2.48	2.86	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)	2.92 ↓ (3.13)	2.91 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
37.2%

Draw
31.4%

Encarnación
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.7%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Encarnación has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Tacuary - Encarnación Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tacuary will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Encarnación will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Ortiz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 0 - 2, Balbuena E. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Pineda J. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 2, Nunez M. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 13).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Tacuary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tacuary won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tacuary won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Tacuary	30	5	12	13	35:52	-17	27
16	Encarnacion FC	30	7	5	18	30:44	-14	26

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuary - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
15.05.26	Deportivo Santaní - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Tacuary - Fernando de la Mora	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	3 de Noviembre - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Tacuary - General Caballero JLM	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Guaireña - Tacuary	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTLL
- Encarnación FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.05.26	Encarnación - Atlético Tembetary	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Benjamín Aceval - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Encarnación - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:2 ✺
24.04.26	12 de Junio - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Paraguarí - Encarnación	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.08.25	Encarnación - Tacuary	3:1
27.04.25	Tacuary - Encarnación	1:0
Copa Paraguay
19.09.24	Encarnación - Tacuary	1:0 penalties

Tacuary - Encarnación