Match Info

Primera C - Round 13

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Español		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.72	3.15
	2.74	2.49	2.79
	2.91	2.44	2.95	Watch
	2.8	2.5	2.8
	2.3	2.78	3.26
	2.18	2.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.36)	2.62 ↓ (2.76)	3.05 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Español
35.6%

Draw
34.6%

El Porvenir
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

32.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

33.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Deportivo Español - El Porvenir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Español won 2.

Recent performances by Deportivo Español have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

El Porvenir is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Español won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Español won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
18.05.26	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Fénix - Deportivo Español	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Deportivo Español - Sportivo Barracas	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Club Luján - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sacachispas - Deportivo Español	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTTL
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
16.05.26	El Porvenir - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	El Porvenir - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Fénix - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
18.08.25	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	0:2
03.05.25	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:1
15.11.24	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	0:1
15.06.24	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:0
17.09.22	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	3:1
15.05.22	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:2
25.07.21	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	1:0

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