Match Info

Primera C - Round 9

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Central Ballester		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.78	2.58
	2.93	2.63	2.34
	2.71	2.76	2.76	Watch
	2.8	2.6	2.7
	2.66	2.71	2.72
	2.48	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.53)	2.72 ↓ (2.74)	2.65 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Ballester
33%

Draw
33.1%

El Porvenir
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

33.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

33.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Ballester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Ballester than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Central Ballester - El Porvenir Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Central Ballester (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Ballester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Nami D. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 0 - 1, Villagra L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Alvarez N. ⚽,
52', Sarmiento T. 🟥,
65', 1 - 2, De Benedetti N. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Ballester won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Central Ballester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Central Ballester won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Ballester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

El Porvenir - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.27%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Ballester
Argentinian Primera C
19.04.26	Leandro N. Alem - Central Ballester	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Central Ballester - Fénix	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sportivo Barracas - Central Ballester	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Central Ballester - Club Luján	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Central Ballester - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWWLL
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
22.04.26	Fénix - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	El Porvenir - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - El Porvenir	2:2 ✺
30.03.26	El Porvenir - Sportivo Barracas	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	El Porvenir - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.10.24	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	0:1
19.05.24	El Porvenir - Central Ballester	0:0
Argentinian Primera D
13.11.23	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	0:3
31.07.23	El Porvenir - Central Ballester	1:0
28.05.23	El Porvenir - Central Ballester	2:0
21.03.16	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	0:0

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