Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio David Cordón Hichos (Guastatoya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Guastatoya		Marquense

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.40	5.00
	1.52	3.6	5.3
	1.57	3.82	5.56
	1.58	3.82	5.68	Watch
	1.55	3.75	5.5
	1.55	3.65	5.57
	1.53	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	5.4 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Guastatoya
58.4%

Draw
24.8%

Marquense
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Escobar R. (G) 23. Armas V. 22. Avalos V. 33. Contreras A. 32. Lemus B. 17. Lon A. 18. Lovato N. 4. Morales B. 77. Sanchez D. 13. Tejeda A. 44. Yori E.	1. Gutierrez G. (G) 17. Chuc D. 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 20. Gordillo G. 9. Grande D. 70. Hernandez Y. 21. Ledesma A. 79. Linton O. 91. Matta A. 66. Santos C. 8. Velasquez E.
Substitutes
7. Almanza J. 88. Alvarado C. 25. Cruz G. O. 14. Estrada J. 19. Garrido S. 30. Hernandez B. (G) 15. Morales H. 16. Ramirez C. 10. Sequen M.	. Cano J. 13. Cifuentes J. (G) 30. de L. B. 19. Escalante F. 11. Ochaeta D. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 99. Rodas M. 18. Sanchez E. 5. Vasquez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Avalos V. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Velasquez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 2, Grande D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Guastatoya is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guastatoya won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:6. (average 2.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guastatoya	12	8	1	3	19:13	6	25
4	Marquense	12	6	1	5	13:15	-2	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Malacateco	4:0 ✺
25.07.26	Aurora - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWW
- Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.08.26	Marquense - Cobán Imperial	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Suchitepéquez - Marquense	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Marquense	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Marquense - Municipal	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Antigua GFC - Marquense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.04.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense	4:0
04.03.26	Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:2
23.11.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense	5:0
17.09.25	Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:2
29.03.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense	1:0
25.01.25	Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0
05.10.24	Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1

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