The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marquense 42.6%
Draw 30%
Deportivo Guastatoya 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
29.3%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
28.1%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Colli J. (G) 29. Casas D. 17. Chuc D. 10. Escobar M. 13. Estrada C. 19. Joj J. 79. Linton O. 66. Lopez C. 99. Rodas M. 2. Vasquez E. 53. Villalobos J.
1. Escobar R. (G) 7. Almanza J. 23. Armas V. 22. Avalos V. 30. Fernandez K. 27. Garcia N. 9. Gomez S. 21. Hernandez 17. Lon A. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 77. Sanchez D.
Substitutes
5. Cano J. 7. Ceballos M. . de Leon C. 20. Elington E. 18. Escobar J. . Flores D. . Fuentes F. . Mencia R. 52. Sosa M. (G)
88. Alvarado C. 99. Cifuentes J. (G) 26. Cruz G. O. 6. Estrada J. 19. Garrido S. . Gutierrez A. 15. Morales H. 10. Sequen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Lopez C. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽,
26', 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Casas D. ⚽,
33', Lopez C. ↓, Cano J. ↑,
34', Estrada C. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Fernandez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Escobar M. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
46', Vasquez E. ↓, Fuentes F. ↑,
48', Sanchez D. 🟨,
58', Ramirez K. G. A. ↓, Morales H. ↑,
62', Fernandez K. ↓, Sequen M. ↑,
63', Lon A. ↓, Alvarado C. ↑,
68', Villalobos J. ↓, Mencia R. ↑,
68', Joj J. ↓, Ceballos M. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Ceballos M. ⚽,
78', Avalos V. ↓, Garrido S. ↑,
80', 🟨,
84', Mencia R. 🟨,
85', Almanza J. ↓, Cruz G. O. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Guastatoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Marquense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Marquense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.2:0.6).