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Current Win Probability
Marquense 56.3%
Draw 26.5%
Deportivo Guastatoya 17.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47%
28.8%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
27.7%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marquense's performance.
Deportivo Guastatoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Guastatoya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marquense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Guastatoya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Marquense will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Guastatoya will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez G. (G) 17. Chuc D. 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 20. Gordillo G. 70. Hernandez Y. 79. Linton O. 24. Lopez C. 11. Ochaeta D. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 18. Sanchez E. 66. Santos C.
1. Escobar R. (G) 8. Aguilar Y. 7. Almanza J. 33. Contreras A. 19. Garrido S. 17. Lon A. 4. Morales B. 25. Pineda W. 10. Sequen M. 13. Tejeda A. 44. Yori E.
Substitutes
13. Cifuentes J. (G) 30. de L. B. 19. Escalante F. 21. Escobar J. 9. Grande D. 91. Matta A. 99. Rodas M. 5. Vasquez E. 8. Velasquez E.
88. Alvarado C. 23. Armas V. 14. Estrada J. 6. Estrada J. 30. Hernandez B. (G) 15. Morales H. 35. Palencia E. . Ramirez C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Santos C. 🟨,
4', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
8', Tejeda A. 🟨,
37', Gordillo G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Lon A. 🟨,
55', Ochaeta D. ↓, Escalante F. ↑,
61', Santos C. 🟨,
66', Hernandez Y. ↓, de L. B. ↑,
70', Ramirez K. G. A. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
76', Contreras A. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
76', Garrido S. ↓, Armas V. ↑,
90+2', Sequen M. ↓, Marroquin R. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 4th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Bookmakers give the edge to Marquense for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Marquense has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:31 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marquense against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:9 goals (averaging 1.2:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Guastatoya
17
8
4
5
22:20
2
28
7
Marquense
17
7
4
6
18:21
-3
25
Last Results with these Odds
Marquense - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 47.03%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Mexico
Usa
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Gutierrez G. (G) 
Chuc D. 
Linton O. 
Escobar R. (G) 
Tejeda A. 
Yori E. 
Escobar J. 
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