The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Marítimo 31.6%
Draw 27.3%
Cartagena B 41.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
28.6%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
27.2%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Marítimo's form might have worsened.
Cartagena B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagena B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Marítimo than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 11th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Deportivo Marítimo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Marítimo has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Marítimo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).