The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Morón 59.6%
Draw 27.5%
San Telmo 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
27.8%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.5%
26.9%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Deportivo Morón - San Telmo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Contreras E. 2. Salvareschi B. 6. Vazquez F. 3. Livera J. 8. Kubiszyn S. 5. Burruchaga M. 10. Olivares J. 11. Bittolo M. 7. Fagundez F. 9. Bulacio D.
1. Enrico J. C. (G) 4. Roncaglia F. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Henriquez F. 3. Paredes G. 7. Motroni J. 5. Uriburu R. 8. Ledesma M. I. 10. Iritier J. 9. Tisera F. 11. Baldunciel L.
Substitutes
. Baez F. . Benitez M. . Diaz F. (G) . Flores F. . Gonzalez G. . Gonzalez M. . Huertas V. . Ramirez T. . Vaquero I. M.
19. Batallini M. 14. Britez E. 13. Diaz E. 18. Gamarra R. 15. Laba M. 17. Larthirigoyen I. 16. Porto J. 12. Ratalin G. (G) 20. Zurbriggen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Pollacchi L. 🟨,
32', Paredes G. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
45+2', Uriburu R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Uriburu R. ↓, Britez E. ↑,
59', Henriquez F. ↓, Gamarra R. ↑,
59', Baldunciel L. ↓, Batallini M. ↑,
61', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Ramirez T. ↑,
67', Contreras E. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
67', Fagundez F. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
67', Bittolo M. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
70', Ledesma M. I. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
74', Flores F. 🟨,
74', Batallini M. 🟨,
77', 1 - 0, Olivares J. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Olivares J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
87', Iritier J. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 1.
Deportivo Morón is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
San Telmo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportivo Morón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportivo Morón is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Deportivo Morón will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
Argentina
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Salva J. (G) 
Fagundez F. 
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